The woes of a monolithic economy…….between agriculture and
petroleum …..The Nigerian economic saga
I am not an economist, not an expert but just
a concerned Bloody Nigerian, let’s compare and contrast what is happening now
and was happened then …………In 1960s, agricultural was the most important contributor to domestic
production, employment and foreign exchange earnings. Between 1970s – 2013 agriculture was overtaken by oil ,between 1970 – 1999 Agricultural sectors
was allowed to stagnate from the oil
boom decade of the 1970s,.Now in this present
economy, oil accounts for 95% of our exports (2.3m bpd and oil sales
N8.026tr 2012) 75% of our consolidated budgetary revenues comes from oil
(11.214tr 2013, 10.519 tr 2014, 11.493 tr 2015)
and mind you, agricultural exports as at today just represent just about 0.2% of our total exports
but still employs about 70 per cent of Nigerian’ working population, while the
oil sector employs less even fewer, now let’s imagine if agriculture has being
given a strong priority in the Nigerian economic mainstream, how many jobless
population would the country will have
had today ……. This is the inconvenient truth …… Agriculture focus states
in Nigeria have the lowest unemployment rate (Kwara 7.1%, Cross Rivers 12.2% and
Benue State 14.2)
More disturbing stories………Malaysia picked its palm fruits from
Nigeria and in 2008 Malaysia raked in $20.3bn from oil palm while that sector
in Malaysia is one the highest employer of labour …furthermore let look at
Nigerian food import bill; Nigeria is the largest importer of wheat in the world
(imports about $4bn worth), Nigeria is the largest
importer of rice in the world (imports about $2bn worth) Nigeria spent about $623,830,318.15 yearly in the
importation of dairy products ,Nigeria imports $312.5m of fish ,the Nigerian total yearly food import bill was put at $10bn ……what a sad scenario…………Nigeria imports
what it has a comparative advantage to
produce……….Now the wakeup call………if youth unemployment will really be dealt
with ,Agriculture still have a brilliant
role to play.
Data source -FAO
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